Exactly one week after Diego Corrales and Jose Luis Castillo set Las Vegas on fire, Ronald "Winky" Wright and Felix "Tito" Trinidad will try to keep the flames burning as they face each other at the MGM Grand in the first "superfight" of the year.

Most likely it will be a tactical fight with sporadic action, nothing like the war of attrition fought on Cinco de Mayo between Corrales and Castillo. But in the end Wright, not Trinidad, will be victorious. Here's why.

Yes, Trinidad, 42-1 (35), has destructive one-punch power in both fists. He can take you out with a left hook or that heat-seeking missle of a right hand. And yes, Trinidad is a more natural middleweight, whereas Wright, who has fought at 154 his entire career, will be making the six-pound leap for the first time. But Wright, 48-3 (25), fresh off his two wins over "Sugar" Shane Mosley, is one of the most confident boxers in recent memory. I'm not talking about ego, but a sheer, unbridled and optimistic sureness with a touch of cockiness that many fighters lack and disguise with, well ego. Add to that Wright is a defensive whiz and a busy, if not hard puncher, who is able to negate power (Fernando Vargas), speed (Mosley), awkward styles (Bronco Mckart) and tall, rangy boxers (J.C. Candelo). And Wright is a tall junior middlweight, so the extra pounds shouldn't be a factor.

Trinidad can be outboxed, as Oscar De La Hoya showed. And he can be bossed around the ring and intimidated as Bernard Hopkins showed. While it's unlikely Wright will do the latter, he can frustrate Trinidad by boxing him. Trinidad's footwork isn't the greatest, and his use of lateral movement is sparse. Is it possible that "Tito" lands a big shot and hurts Wright? Sure. Is it likley? Not if Wright doesn't get sloppy, sticks to his gameplan and maintains focus.

There can be little doubt that Wright and trainer Dan Birmingham are ready. Wright's last two fights are better preparation for this fight than Trinidad can hope the limited Ricardo Mayorga (who he faced last) was for him. It will be a close fight, similar in some respects to the second Mosley fight. But in the end, it will be Wright who is one step closer to signing on the dotted line with Bernard Hopkins.

Prediction: Wright by decision.